Tag Archives: Implied Volatility

Archive, Retrospective

Sunday Retrospective for April 6

Posted on by Conor Browne

Executing With Conviction and Trusting Setup Clarity

• Consistent hesitation on A-tier trades, even when confirmation matched the pre-market plan exactly.

• Missed follow-through on clean tech breakouts, as second-guessing delayed entries past the ideal level.

• Emotional carryover from early-week losses, affecting risk appetite and leading to under-sizing strong setups.

• Refinement of setup clarity grading, reinforcing the need to categorize setups as Clear, Gray, or Avoid before the open.

• Discussion on over-monitoring trades mid-run, with traders exiting too early from fear rather than invalidation.

• New weekly goal set: immediate execution on any “Clear” setup with full planned size—no filtering, no edits.

Summary

the team reviewed a recurring issue: hesitation on A-tier setups—even when those trades lined up perfectly with the morning plan. Clean breakouts in tech were missed due to over-analysis or delayed execution, with entries happening after the ideal moment or not at all.

A key theme was emotional drag. Early-week losses carried into later sessions, subconsciously reducing position sizing or increasing caution, even on valid setups. Ernie emphasized that past outcomes should never dictate current execution—each trade must stand on its own.

The team agreed to reinforce the setup grading system: Clear, Gray, and Avoid. Pre-market, every watchlist name will be assigned one of these categories to eliminate live-session doubt. There was also a warning against over-monitoring trades once they’re live—several early exits were made out of fear, not invalidation.

The week ahead comes with a clear directive: when a Clear setup appears, it must be executed immediately with full planned size. No edits. No filters. Just pure follow-through on the plan.

Archive, Zoom Daily

Daily Meeting for Friday March 7

Posted on by Conor Browne



Adapting Trade Strategies for End-of-Week Market Movements

• Impact of Late-Week Volatility: Discussion on how price fluctuations influenced trade performance and decision-making.

• Adjustments to the ‘big ass fly’ strategy: Refinements aimed at improving execution timing and market adaptability.

• Recognizing False Breakouts: Review of setups that failed due to weak follow-through and strategies for better confirmation.

• Risk Management for Friday Trading: Emphasis on adjusting stop-losses and scaling positions to account for increased volatility.

• Sector Insights and Trade Opportunities: Analysis of key movements in tech and energy, highlighting areas for potential setups.

• Maintaining Trade Patience and Discipline: Reminder to avoid overtrading and focus on well-confirmed opportunities.

Summary

the team reviewed the challenges of late-week market volatility and how it impacted trade setups. Ernie led a discussion on refining the ‘big ass fly’ strategy, focusing on execution timing and adaptability to shifting market conditions.

A major topic was recognizing false breakouts, with a review of setups that lacked strong follow-through and how to improve confirmation before entering trades. Risk management strategies were also addressed, particularly in adjusting stop-loss placements and scaling positions to manage exposure on Fridays.

Sector-specific analysis highlighted opportunities in tech and energy markets, with key movements identified for potential trades. Ernie concluded the meeting by reinforcing patience and discipline, encouraging the team to focus on well-confirmed opportunities and avoid unnecessary trades in uncertain market conditions.

Archive, Zoom Daily

Daily Meeting for Wednesday March 5

Posted on by Conor Browne

Refining Market Timing and Trade Execution Amid Increased Volatility

• Impact of Midweek Market Fluctuations: Discussion on how rapid price swings affected trade setups and execution.

• Adjustments to the ‘big ass fly’ strategy: Modifications to enhance adaptability during unpredictable market conditions.

• Strengthening Entry Confirmations: Emphasis on using volume trends and key technical indicators to validate trade signals.

• Risk Management in Fast-Moving Markets: Strategies for adjusting stop-loss placements and scaling positions to minimize risk exposure.

• Sector-Specific Analysis: Examination of market shifts in tech and financials, identifying trends and upcoming opportunities.

• Reinforcing Trading Discipline: Encouragement to wait for well-defined setups and avoid emotional trading decisions.

Summary

the team addressed the challenges of midweek market fluctuations and their impact on trade execution. Ernie led a discussion on refining the ‘big ass fly’ strategy, with specific adjustments to improve trade adaptability in rapidly changing conditions.

A major focus was placed on strengthening entry confirmations, using volume trends and key technical indicators to validate high-probability setups. Risk management strategies were reviewed, with discussions on adjusting stop-loss placements and scaling positions to control exposure in fast-moving markets.

Sector-specific analysis covered notable movements in tech and financials, with key trends identified for potential trading opportunities. Ernie concluded by reinforcing the importance of patience and discipline, urging traders to wait for well-defined setups and avoid emotionally driven decisions.

Archive, Zoom Daily

Daily Meeting for Tuesday March 4

Posted on by Conor Browne

Optimizing Trade Execution and Managing Risk in a Volatile Market

• Market Reaction to Key Economic Events: Analysis of how economic data releases impacted price action and trade setups.

• Refinements to the ‘big ass fly’ strategy: Adjustments to improve trade entries and exits amid rapid market fluctuations.

• Fine-Tuning Entry Confirmations: Discussion on using confluence of technical indicators to strengthen trade validation.

• Dynamic Risk Management Strategies: Adjustments to stop-loss placements and position sizing to adapt to increased volatility.

• Sector Performance Analysis: Identification of strong trends in financials and tech, with a focus on upcoming opportunities.

• Reinforcing Trade Patience and Discipline: Reminder to avoid emotional trading and wait for confirmed setups before execution.

Summary

the team discussed the market’s reaction to key economic events and how it influenced trade setups. Ernie led a review of refinements to the ‘big ass fly’ strategy, focusing on improving trade execution amid rapid price movements.

The importance of fine-tuning entry confirmations was emphasized, with a strategy centered around using multiple technical indicators to validate trades. Risk management was also addressed, with dynamic adjustments to stop-loss placements and position sizing introduced to better navigate volatility.

Sector analysis highlighted strong trends in financials and tech, identifying potential opportunities for upcoming trades. Ernie concluded by reinforcing the importance of patience and discipline, urging traders to avoid emotional decision-making and focus on executing only well-confirmed setups.

Archive, Zoom Daily

Daily Meeting for Friday February 14

Posted on by Conor Browne

Enhancing Strategy Execution for Volatile Market Conditions

• Handling Sharp Intraday Reversals: Discussion on the impact of sudden market flips and strategies for improved entry timing.

• Adjustments to the ‘big ass fly’ strategy: Tweaks to improve adaptability during periods of inconsistent momentum.

• Mitigating Risk During Volatile Sessions: Emphasis on scaling into positions gradually and managing stop-loss placements.

• Avoiding False Breakout Traps: Analysis of failed setups and techniques for confirming legitimate breakout strength.

• Sector Performance Breakdown: Insights into emerging trends in the tech and healthcare sectors for upcoming opportunities.

• Maintaining Patience in Trade Execution: Reminder to wait for fully confirmed setups and avoid emotionally driven trades.

Summary

the team analyzed recent sharp intraday reversals and discussed how they disrupted trade setups. Ernie emphasized refining the ‘big ass fly’ strategy to improve adaptability during periods of inconsistent market momentum.

The session focused on mitigating risk in volatile conditions, with discussions around scaling into positions gradually and optimizing stop-loss placements. The team reviewed several failed trades caught in false breakout traps and identified new techniques for confirming breakout strength.

Sector-specific analysis highlighted emerging trends in tech and healthcare, offering insights into potential trade opportunities. Ernie concluded by reminding the team to exercise patience, focusing on fully confirmed setups and avoiding emotionally driven trading decisions.

Archive, Zoom Daily

Daily Meeting for Tuesday February 4

Posted on by Conor Browne

Refining Trade Execution and Market Adaptability

• Market Reaction to Key Economic Data: Discussion on how recent data releases impacted volatility and trade setups.

• Adjustments to the ‘big ass fly’ strategy: Modifications made to improve trade entries in response to shifting market momentum.

• Enhancing Trade Timing: Focus on identifying optimal entry points using volume trends and momentum indicators.

• Managing Risk in High Volatility Conditions: Review of stop-loss strategies to prevent unnecessary early exits.

• Sector-Specific Analysis: Breakdown of market movements in tech and financials and their implications for trade setups.

• Avoiding Emotional Trading Decisions: Reinforcement of the importance of following structured setups rather than reacting impulsively.

Summary

the team analyzed the market’s reaction to key economic data releases and their influence on volatility. Ernie led discussions on refining the ‘big ass fly’ strategy, focusing on better trade entries to align with shifting market momentum.

The session highlighted strategies for enhancing trade timing, emphasizing the use of volume trends and momentum indicators to improve execution. Risk management was a primary focus, with adjustments to stop-loss placements to avoid premature exits during high-volatility conditions.

Sector-specific analysis covered notable movements in tech and financials, with insights on how to leverage these trends for upcoming trade setups. Ernie concluded by reinforcing the importance of avoiding emotional trading decisions and sticking to structured setups for consistent performance.

Archive, Zoom Daily

Daily Meeting for Friday December 27

Posted on by Conor Browne

Refining Strategies for End-of-Year Market Dynamics

• Analysis of trades affected by unexpected end-of-year volatility and lessons for improved reaction time.

• Adjustments to the “big ass fly” strategy to better align with fluctuating liquidity in key sectors.

• Emphasis on identifying high-probability setups using a combination of sector analysis and updated indicators.

• Review of missed opportunities due to delayed entry decisions and strategies for enhancing precision.

• Discussion on managing risks associated with year-end market trends and avoiding overexposure.

• Encouragement to maintain discipline while capitalizing on opportunities in transitioning market conditions.

Summary

the team focused on refining strategies to navigate the unique dynamics of end-of-year trading. Ernie emphasized the importance of adapting the “big ass fly” strategy to better handle fluctuating liquidity in key sectors and ensuring its alignment with year-end market conditions.

The discussion highlighted trades impacted by unexpected volatility, with lessons drawn to improve reaction times and decision-making. High-probability setups were reviewed, leveraging a mix of sector analysis and updated technical indicators for enhanced precision.

Missed opportunities due to delayed entries were analyzed, leading to strategies aimed at improving execution timing. The team also discussed managing risks specific to year-end trends, emphasizing the importance of avoiding overexposure. Ernie concluded by encouraging the team to maintain discipline while remaining opportunistic in the evolving market environment.

Archive, Zoom Daily

Daily Meeting for Monday December 23

Posted on by Conor Browne

Strategic Realignment and Risk Adaptation for Holiday Markets

• Analysis of reduced holiday trading volumes and their implications on strategy execution.

• Adjustments to the “big ass fly” strategy to account for thinner liquidity and slower market conditions.

• Emphasis on utilizing narrower stop-loss ranges to safeguard against low-volume price swings.

• Review of opportunities in defensive sectors, such as utilities and healthcare, during quieter market periods.

• Discussion on refining intraday entry points based on recent trading patterns.

• Reminder to remain patient and focused, avoiding unnecessary trades during holiday-induced market stagnation.

Summary

the team concentrated on adapting trading strategies to align with the reduced volumes and slower market activity typical of the holiday season. Ernie led discussions on adjustments to the “big ass fly” strategy, highlighting modifications to improve its effectiveness under thin liquidity conditions.

The team reviewed opportunities within defensive sectors, such as utilities and healthcare, as these tend to perform steadily during quieter periods. Narrower stop-loss ranges were emphasized as a key risk management tool to protect against low-volume price swings.

Discussions also focused on refining intraday entry points, drawing lessons from recent trading patterns. Ernie concluded by encouraging patience and strategic focus, reminding the team to prioritize quality setups and avoid unnecessary trades during this period of market stagnation.

Archive, Zoom Daily

Daily Meeting for Tuesday November 26

Posted on by Conor Browne

Refining Risk and Strategy in Anticipation of Market Changes

• Discussion on managing expectations as market volumes decrease ahead of the holiday season.

• Review of the “big ass fly” strategy, focusing on adjustments to capture value in thinning markets.

• Emphasis on using technical indicators to identify potential opportunities amid limited activity.

• Practical advice on scaling back position sizes to reduce risk exposure in a low-liquidity environment.

• Exploration of historical holiday market patterns to guide strategy adjustments.

• Encouragement to focus on quality setups and avoid forced trades during slow periods.

Summary

the team concentrated on adapting strategies to anticipate changes in market activity as volumes decrease during the holiday season. Ernie emphasized the importance of refining the “big ass fly” strategy to optimize performance in thinning markets while maintaining capital preservation.

The session highlighted the role of technical indicators in spotting potential opportunities despite limited activity. Practical advice was provided on scaling back position sizes to reduce risk exposure in a low-liquidity environment.

The team also explored historical holiday market patterns to better understand how to adjust strategies for the upcoming period. Ernie concluded by encouraging everyone to focus on high-quality setups, reminding them to avoid forcing trades during slow trading days.

Archive, Zoom Daily

Daily Meeting for Tuesday October 1

Posted on by Conor Browne

Refining Trade Entries and Managing Volatility Risk

• Analysis of current market volatility and its impact on trade timing and entry points.

• Discussion on the effectiveness of using staggered entry techniques to manage risk during volatile market conditions.

• Emphasis on reviewing stop-loss strategies to better protect against sudden market reversals.

• Introduction of new tools and indicators for identifying optimal trade setups during periods of heightened volatility.

• Detailed review of recent trades using the “big ass fly” strategy, with suggestions for refining entry and exit criteria.

• Focus on the importance of maintaining discipline and adhering to pre-planned risk management guidelines in a volatile market.

Summary

The group focused on adapting trade entry strategies to the current volatile market conditions. Ernie provided a detailed analysis of how market volatility affects the timing and entry points of trades, suggesting staggered entry techniques as a way to manage risk more effectively. The discussion also emphasized the importance of reviewing and refining stop-loss strategies to better safeguard against sudden market reversals.

New tools and indicators for identifying optimal trade setups during heightened volatility were introduced, helping traders make more informed decisions. The meeting included a review of recent trades using the “big ass fly” strategy, with suggestions on how to refine both the entry and exit criteria for improved performance.

The session concluded with a reminder to maintain discipline and adhere to pre-planned risk management strategies, reinforcing the importance of consistency in volatile market