Tag Archives: Market Trend Analysis

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Daily Meeting for Monday April 14

Posted on by Conor Browne

Reconnecting Prep to Execution and Cutting the Delay Loop

• Missed first-hour setup in tech, even though it matched all pre-market criteria and triggered cleanly.

• Team flagged over-checking second indicators, which delayed entries on otherwise confirmed setups.

• Ernie reframed hesitation as a trust issue, not a technical one—the plan was right, the follow-through wasn’t.

• First-touch starter entry reinforced, especially on A-tier setups where speed outweighs perfect sizing.

• Post-trade reviews showed strongest outcomes from early, decisive entries, not over-filtered trades.

• Challenge for Tuesday: execute the first A-tier setup exactly as prepped—no confirmation stacking, no edits, just entry.

Summary

the team unpacked a key miss on a textbook first-hour tech setup. Despite nailing the pre-market planning, most of the team held back at the moment of trigger—citing a desire for “one more confirmation” before entering. Ernie emphasized that this isn’t a technical issue—it’s a trust issue. When the prep is solid and the level hits, the execution must follow.

The discussion also returned to the concept of first-touch starter entries. Waiting for more information often means missing the opportunity entirely, while early entries (even small) create control, positioning, and composure.

Post-trade reviews clearly showed that the best trades of the week came from clean, decisive execution—not trades that were over-filtered or delayed. Ernie closed the session with a challenge for Tuesday: when the first A-tier setup triggers, execute it exactly as planned. No edits. No stacking confirmations. Just take the trade.

Archive, Retrospective

Sunday Retrospective for March 30

Posted on by Conor Browne

Trusting Prep and Executing Without Delay

• Recurring hesitation on A-rated setups, even when pre-market levels were hit precisely.

• Missed follow-through opportunities in tech, where over-filtering led to skipped trades that later performed as expected.

• Adjustment to pre-market routine, adding 5-minute visualization drills to reinforce execution readiness.

• Reinforced use of starter entries, especially during first-hour volatility, to reduce overthinking and improve positioning.

• Losses came mostly from B-tier trades, while skipped trades were predominantly from clean A-setups—highlighting misalignment in focus.

• Team-wide goal set for the week: execute the first A-rated setup without hesitation, regardless of external noise or recent results.

Summary

the team reflected on hesitation and execution misalignment. A key theme was the repeated skipping of clean, A-rated setups—despite those trades lining up exactly with pre-market plans. Ernie emphasized that hesitation is still costing more than losses and that confidence must come from the prep, not from in-the-moment overanalysis.

The team missed several strong follow-through moves in the tech sector after over-filtering during live sessions. As a result, a refinement was made to the pre-market routine: a new 5-minute visualization drill will be added to help cement confidence and readiness for high-conviction trades.

Starter entries were again recommended, particularly in the first hour, to avoid overthinking and ensure better positioning early. Notably, most losses during the week came from B-tier setups, while the most profitable opportunities were missed due to second-guessing A-setups—highlighting a misalignment in execution priorities.

The meeting closed with a clear goal: this week, each team member is to execute the first clean A-rated setup they see, without hesitation—resetting momentum and realigning execution with preparation.

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Daily Meeting for Thursday March 27

Posted on by Conor Browne

Honing Breakout Timing and Eliminating Second-Guessing

• Missed early breakout in mid-cap tech, despite pre-market plan highlighting it as a top-tier watch.

• Review of overcomplication during live execution, where clean setups were skipped due to second-guessing entry criteria.

• ‘Big ass fly’ strategy reaffirmed, with emphasis on trusting the first clean move rather than waiting for retests.

• Reinforcement of pre-market visual walkthroughs, to internalize target zones and remove hesitation at key levels.

• Discussion on early profit cuts, encouraging holding partial size for the full move when the setup remains intact.

• Group commitment to immediate execution on A-setups, with accountability reviews scheduled for Friday’s debrief.

Summary

the team dissected another missed opportunity on a mid-cap tech breakout. Despite strong pre-market planning and clear levels, the trade was skipped due to second-guessing during the moment of execution. Ernie emphasized that these moments stem from a lack of trust—not a lack of readiness.

The discussion reinforced the core principle of the ‘big ass fly’ strategy: strike early and decisively on clean momentum, rather than waiting for perfection. To support this, the team agreed to bring back pre-market visual walkthroughs, focusing on internalizing entry/exit zones before the bell.

Ernie also pointed out instances of profit being cut too soon, urging the group to let partial positions ride when a setup remains intact. The meeting closed with a team-wide agreement to immediately execute on any A-rated setup, with a Friday debrief scheduled to assess follow-through.

Archive, Retrospective

Sunday Retrospective for March 23

Posted on by Conor Browne

Tightening Execution and Reinforcing Sector Focus

• Consistent hesitation on early-session breakouts, particularly in the tech sector, resulting in missed entries despite clear signals.

• Refinement of stop-loss strategies, implementing ATR-based dynamic stops to better manage risk during increased volatility.

• Review of profit-taking discipline, with several trades closed prematurely, cutting short potential gains on confirmed trends.

• Shift in focus toward small-cap healthcare stocks, after mid-week data showed increased institutional buying and volume surges.

• Emphasis on avoiding overtrading during midday sessions, where choppy price action led to a lower win rate and increased risk exposure.

• Commitment to pre-market preparation, ensuring readiness for fast-moving opportunities and reducing hesitation at open.

Summary

the team reviewed execution across the previous week, focusing on consistent hesitation during early-session breakouts, particularly within tech names. Ernie stressed the importance of pre-market preparation and being ready to act decisively when trade signals align.

Refinements were made to the team’s stop-loss strategy, moving to ATR-based dynamic stops to better accommodate market volatility and reduce unnecessary stop-outs. There was also a review of profit-taking, with an acknowledgment that some trades were closed too early, sacrificing additional upside on solid trends.

The team shifted sector focus toward small-cap healthcare stocks, following data showing increased institutional participation and volume spikes. Ernie emphasized the need to avoid overtrading during midday chop and reinforced the value of maintaining patience until high-probability setups emerge.

The session concluded with a renewed commitment to structured pre-market routines, ensuring the team is ready to capitalize on key opportunities without hesitation.

Archive, Zoom Daily

Daily Meeting for Friday March 14

Posted on by Conor Browne

Executing on Sector Strength and Tightening Trade Management

• Late entry on early financial sector moves, with focus on improving readiness for pre-market planned setups.

• Adjustment to the ‘big ass fly’ strategy, shortening trade duration to capture rapid moves in small-cap names.

• Refinement of stop-loss placement, using volatility-based levels to prevent unnecessary stop-outs in choppy conditions.

• Review of missed healthcare setups, emphasizing the importance of rotating focus to emerging sector strength.

• Reinforcement of avoiding FOMO-driven trades, ensuring setups meet full criteria before execution.

• Implementation of post-trade review sessions, aimed at identifying execution gaps and improving future performance.

Summary

the team reviewed missed opportunities in the financial sector due to hesitation on early planned setups. Ernie emphasized the importance of executing pre-market plans without delay when confirmation levels are hit.

The ‘big ass fly’ strategy was refined, with an emphasis on shorter trade durations to capitalize on sharp moves in small-cap stocks. The team discussed refining stop-loss placements, introducing volatility-based adjustments to avoid being prematurely stopped out in sideways markets.

Missed healthcare setups were also highlighted, prompting a shift in focus toward sectors showing relative strength. Ernie reinforced the importance of avoiding trades driven by FOMO, ensuring every setup aligns with technical criteria before entering.

The session closed with a plan to implement post-trade review sessions, focusing on bridging gaps in execution and continuously improving decision-making processes.

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Daily Meeting for Monday March 3

Posted on by Conor Browne

Strategic Adjustments for Market Volatility and Execution Precision

• Handling Early Market Fluctuations: Discussion on price action at market open and strategies for better timing of entries.

• Refining the ‘big ass fly’ strategy: Adjustments to optimize trade positioning in response to rapid market shifts.

• Improving Confirmation Signals for Entries: Emphasis on aligning technical indicators to avoid false starts.

• Risk Management Adaptations: Review of stop-loss strategies to account for wider intraday price swings.

• Sector Rotation Insights: Analysis of capital flow into defensive stocks and opportunities within energy and financials.

• Maintaining Trade Discipline: Reinforcement of structured setups and avoiding overtrading during choppy conditions.

Summary

the team reviewed market conditions at the open, focusing on how price fluctuations affected trade timing and execution. Ernie discussed refinements to the ‘big ass fly’ strategy, emphasizing adjustments to improve trade positioning in response to rapid market shifts.

A major focus was placed on improving confirmation signals for entries, ensuring technical indicators align to reduce false setups. The team also reviewed risk management, particularly adjusting stop-loss placements to accommodate increased intraday volatility.

Sector-specific analysis highlighted capital flow into defensive stocks, with key opportunities identified in energy and financials. Ernie concluded by reinforcing the importance of disciplined trading, urging traders to stick to structured setups and avoid overtrading in uncertain market conditions.

Archive, Zoom Daily

Daily Meeting for Tuesday February 25

Posted on by Conor Browne

Optimizing Trade Execution Amid Market Volatility

• Impact of Pre-Market Gaps: Discussion on how overnight price movements disrupted trade setups and execution plans.

• Adjustments to the ‘big ass fly’ strategy: Modifications made to improve trade positioning during unpredictable market conditions.

• Stronger Trade Confirmation Methods: Emphasis on integrating moving averages and trend strength indicators for better entry signals.

• Managing Risk During High-Frequency Moves: Review of stop-loss adjustments to prevent premature exits in volatile markets.

• Sector Rotation Insights: Analysis of capital flow into defensive stocks and how to align trades with shifting market sentiment.

• Avoiding Emotional Trading Decisions: Reinforcement of disciplined trade execution and adherence to structured setups.

Summary

the team analyzed the impact of pre-market gaps and how they disrupted planned trade executions. Ernie led a discussion on refining the ‘big ass fly’ strategy to better handle unpredictable market conditions and adjust trade positioning accordingly.

A key focus was placed on strengthening trade confirmation methods, with an emphasis on using moving averages and trend strength indicators to improve entry signals. The team also reviewed stop-loss adjustments to prevent premature exits while managing risk effectively in high-volatility conditions.

Sector rotation analysis highlighted capital flow into defensive stocks, providing insights on aligning trade strategies with evolving market sentiment. Ernie concluded the meeting by reinforcing the importance of avoiding emotional trading decisions, staying disciplined, and adhering to structured setups for consistent performance.

Archive, Retrospective

Sunday Retrospective for January 17

Posted on by Conor Browne

Adapting Strategies for Volatility and Improved Risk Control

• Review of High-Volatility Sessions: Analysis of market fluctuations that impacted trade consistency and execution.

• Refinements to the ‘big ass fly’ strategy: Focus on improving adaptability in rapidly changing market conditions.

• Lessons from Missed Opportunities: Examination of trades affected by delayed entries and strategies to improve reaction time.

• Risk Management Adjustments: Discussion on optimal stop-loss placements and scaling techniques to mitigate losses.

• Sector-Specific Insights: Identification of strong momentum in energy and financial sectors and how to leverage these trends.

• Goals for the Upcoming Week: Prioritizing trade discipline, focusing on confirmed setups, and refining technical analysis strategies.

Summary

the team reviewed challenges faced during periods of heightened market volatility and how it affected trade outcomes. Ernie led an evaluation of the ‘big ass fly’ strategy, suggesting refinements to enhance its adaptability to unpredictable price swings.

A key topic was missed trading opportunities caused by delayed entries, with a focus on improving reaction times and decision-making processes. Risk management strategies were revisited, emphasizing proper stop-loss placement and scaling techniques to manage risk exposure.

Sector-specific analysis highlighted strong momentum in the energy and financial markets, presenting potential opportunities for upcoming trades. Ernie concluded by setting clear goals for the week ahead—prioritizing disciplined execution, focusing on confirmed setups, and fine-tuning technical analysis to align with current market dynamics.

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Daily Meeting for Thursday February 13

Posted on by Conor Browne

Adjusting Trade Execution for Shifting Market Conditions

• Navigating Early Market Uncertainty: Discussion on price fluctuations at open and how to better time entries.

• Refinement of the ‘big ass fly’ strategy: Adjustments to improve responsiveness to sudden momentum changes.

• Recognizing False Breakouts: Review of trades that failed due to weak follow-through and how to avoid similar setups.

• Adjusting Stop-Loss Strategy: Introduction of a dynamic stop approach to reduce risk while allowing room for trades to develop.

• Sector Rotation Analysis: Identifying capital flow into defensive sectors and potential trade opportunities.

• Maintaining Trade Discipline: Emphasis on avoiding revenge trades after a missed opportunity or early stop-out.

Summary

the team analyzed market fluctuations at open, discussing strategies to improve timing for better execution. Ernie provided refinements to the ‘big ass fly’ strategy, particularly to enhance its adaptability to sudden shifts in momentum.

A major focus was on recognizing false breakouts, with a review of trades that failed due to weak follow-through. Adjustments to the stop-loss strategy were introduced, including a dynamic stop approach that helps minimize risk while keeping trades open long enough to develop.

Sector rotation was also a key topic, as the team identified a shift of capital into defensive sectors, presenting potential trading opportunities. Ernie concluded by reinforcing the importance of maintaining discipline, particularly in avoiding revenge trades after missing a setup or being stopped out early.

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Sunday Retrospective for January 5

Posted on by Conor Browne

Strategic Adaptations for the New Year

• Reflection on the first week of the year, focusing on adjustments to align with emerging market trends.

• Evaluation of the “big ass fly” strategy’s performance in sectors exhibiting post-holiday recovery.

• Analysis of trades impacted by delayed execution, with actionable strategies for better timing.

• Emphasis on refining risk management practices to accommodate increased volatility in early-year trading.

• Discussion on opportunities presented by macroeconomic data releases and geopolitical developments.

• Setting goals to improve technical indicator integration and enhance execution consistency for the coming week.

Summary

the team reflected on the first trading week of the year, highlighting the challenges and opportunities presented by emerging market trends. Ernie led an evaluation of the “big ass fly” strategy, focusing on its application in sectors recovering post-holiday.

Delayed execution in certain trades was reviewed, with strategies proposed to improve timing and capitalize on future opportunities. The session emphasized the importance of refining risk management practices, particularly to address the heightened volatility seen in early-year trading.

The team also discussed macroeconomic data releases and geopolitical developments that influenced recent market behavior, identifying areas to watch in the coming weeks. Goals were set to improve the integration of technical indicators and enhance execution consistency. Ernie concluded by encouraging the team to remain disciplined and adaptive as market conditions evolve.